Why Refugees Aren't Borrowing to Escape Poverty: Insights from Dean Karlan (2026)

Imagine a world where people living in extreme poverty could access the tools to lift themselves out of it. Sounds like a simple solution, right? But here's where it gets controversial: why aren't they taking advantage of it?

In a remote corner of Uganda, economist Dean Karlan found himself faced with a perplexing situation. He had designed a program to help people 'graduate' from poverty, yet something was amiss.

The program, known as the Graduation Approach, is based on a simple logic: money begets money. Participants are given a grant and coaching to start small businesses, ranging from farming to hairstyling. It's a promising ladder out of poverty, with success stories in over 20 countries.

But when Karlan visited Uganda, he discovered that half of the block grants, worth around $4,000 each, were sitting untouched in the bank. People weren't borrowing as much as they could.

So, what's holding them back?

Meet Jacquerin Kabanyana, a refugee from the Democratic Republic of Congo. He and his family of 11 lived in a cramped one-room hut in a refugee camp. Their survival depended on occasional daily labor, earning them a meager $5 a week.

Then, the Graduation Approach program came along, offering a glimmer of hope. Kabanyana received a grant of $74 and started raising and selling goats. In just two years, his weekly income more than doubled, and he's now building a sturdier home for his family.

But when Karlan met with Kabanyana's group, he was surprised to learn that Kabanyana planned to borrow even less next time. Why?

Kabanyana explained that the market was slow, and people had less money to spend. He wanted to proceed cautiously, managing his new business before taking on more risk.

And this is the part most people miss: the fear of risk is a powerful barrier for those living in poverty.

"It's a double whammy," Karlan says. "You need money to make money, but you also need to take risks. And for someone who's poor, the consequences of failure are harsh."

For households living on the edge, preserving what little they have becomes a priority. It's a mindset that can hinder them from fully utilizing opportunities like the block grants.

But here's the twist: Karlan and his team are determined to find a solution. They've decided to tweak the program, making it more accessible. Instead of traveling to banks, participants can now borrow via mobile money, a popular electronic wallet system.

And they're encouraging participants to take calculated risks, to borrow more and earn more.

"Over time, the block grant will be used more," Karlan says. "The group will come together, build confidence, and make it work."

So, is this the answer to lifting people out of poverty? Can block grants be the key to a faster, more stable income?

What do you think? Is this approach a promising solution, or are there other factors at play? We'd love to hear your thoughts in the comments!

Why Refugees Aren't Borrowing to Escape Poverty: Insights from Dean Karlan (2026)
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